| A Message
from the CEO
by Charles Crispin, President &
CEO, Evergreen Re

Unprecedented Growth
in Catastrophic Claims
May Leave Health Plans Exposed
By 2010, the severity and
frequency of catastrophic healthcare claims are expected
to grow to unprecedented levels, according to a study recently
commissioned by Evergreen Re.
The frequency of catastrophic claims, defined as a member
incurring medical claims of $1 million or more in a year,
increased ten-fold from the year 2000 to 2005, from less
than 1/10th of one member per 100,000 health plan members
in 2000 to 1.1 per 100,000 members in 2005. While this increased
incidence is staggering, there is no reason to believe the
increased frequency will not continue. Using an assumption
of 7% annual trend, 2.4 per 100,000 members would have a
claim exceeding $1,000,000 by 2010 (twice as many as in 2005).
Assuming 11% level trend, the frequency would jump to 3.6
per 100,000 members.
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